Amazon vs Retailers: No Christmas Cheer

Amazon is running a 24 hour trial this weekend (12/10) that has retailers upset. The trial uses the Amazon application “Price Check” and offers a $5 discount based off the Amazon Price as an incentive for consumers to share in-store advertised prices with them. At issue is how many consumers will choose to purchase steer their decisions to Amazon based on the $5 discount and 6-10% sales tax avoidance? Likely very few. Amazon price check app is not new and there are similar apps like Red Laser that consumers use to price shop.

I suspect in the short-term, that the anxiety here is not based on business metrics and more about the emotions about Amazon making such an overt move right in the middle of the holiday shopping season. In the long-term, initiatives like this may help provide some insights to the key issue: Will brick and mortar stores evolve to become the showrooms for mobile purchases?

My advice: Retailers should be extending their online and brick and mortar channels with mobile apps. By taking control of the channel, including discounts and coupons, the retailer is likely to raise the average spend / shopper and keep them coming back. Even if the lift isn’t much in the short-term, its good, inexpensive insurance, and the retailer can learn from the consumer business intelligence that can be collected.

Amazon’s deal is shown here:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/feature.html?docId=1000749751

Here’s a statement that the Retail Industry Leaders Association’s Katherine Lugar issued today about the promotion

http://www.geekwire.com/2011/retail-association-pissed-amazoncoms-price-check-app

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Digital Wallet Infographic

A really nice infographic created by Sharna Brocket over at Intiut.com on the digital wallet and the future of payments

The Digital Wallet and the Future of Payments [INFOGRAPHIC]

via: The Digital Wallet and the Future of Payments [INFOGRAPHIC]

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Google’s Wallet Runs into Problems

If setting up Google Wallet is complex, unreliable or leaves consumers unexcited, it could be DOA bit.ly/ncvUzX

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Verizon and AMEX rub shoulders on mobile payments

What most of the initiatives lack, of course, is real money sitting on both sides of the table that incent both parties to make something happen, in a given timeframe.
[Read more...]

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Citigroup Gets Real Serious About Mobile

Citigroup is hiring former Samsung Mobile CTO Omar Khan http://goo.gl/fb/pcwQY

Citi has had a number of questionable starts in mobile. First up was its ill-fated decision to use Firethorn’s mobile banking solution – Firethorn has been in a tail spin since it was acquired by Qualcomm and has since exited the business. Next up was a trial balloon with mFoundry which never any gained any traction. Citi then became a parter in a group called Mobile Ventures, a global mobile banking initiative, which saw it principle leadership leave in its first year of operation. Citi’s current retail bank mobile offering is built by Kony Solutions.

The impact:
We think Khan can bring some much-needed leadership and focus within Citi around mobile. His technical background suggests he has the ability to insure Citi solutions are scalable and global. Khan also has the skills to be a good public spokesperson for Citi ( if they let him ).

This move by Citi is likely to be followed by other institutions who have largely re-purposed people with retail bank experience who lack mobile experience.

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Price War To Benefit Mobile Micro-Merchants

Image representing Intuit as depicted in Crunc...

Image via CrunchBase

Intuit follows Square, by dropping the 15 cent transaction fees for its GoPayments micro-merchant solution.

GoPayment
’s pricing for low-volume merchants (~ $1,000 or less in card volume per month) card present transactions is now 2.7% and 3.7% for higher risk card not present transactions. For higher-volume merchants, the fee is 1.7%, and 2.7% for card-not-present transactions. Intuit retained its $12.95 monthly fee for higher-volume merchants.

Sepharim POV:

Companies like VISA are very interested in this merchant segment because of the large potential conversion of cash and cash equivalent transactions that could expand the value of card-processing sector. 
However, micro-merchants have been shown to be a fickle group who has high attrition rates and low overall transaction value/volume ratios. To make this business profitable companies must do three things:

  1. Continue to look for ways to drive down merchant onboarding costs.
  2. Develop improved real time risk management and fraud techniques.
  3. Continue to be creative in terms of offering new features and lower pricing.
  4. Drive improvements in system availability and lower latency.

Item 4 appears to be a growing concern as some merchants in busy markets (NYC, SFO and Chicago) have indicated issues that appear to be related to wireless network congestion.

Many of the lessons learned in these days early of mobile payments, that leverage existing magnetic card technology, will be applicable to Near Field Communication (NFC) payments as that market emerges. 
Mobile micro-merchant solutions should be considered an important evolution in alternate payment methods for at least two other reasons:

  1. Gaining a better understand about how comfortable consumers will be with alternative mobile payment solutions.
  2. How will theft and fraud evolve and be remediated?

For merchants, not having a mobile payment solution within 5 years, will be as antiquated as a brick and mortar retailers not having an online presence 5 years ago.
Its not a matter of if, but when mobile payments will become the next growth hormone of electronic payments.
With Intuit and Square lowering transaction pricing, can we expect to see VeriFone and Apriva follow?

 

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Free Webinar: The Future of Mobile Payments

WHEN

April 26, 2011

WHERE

Toll-free Dial-In Number: (877) 273-4202
International Dial-In Number: (213) 289-0155
Conference # : 8060636

WHAT

Join us for our roundtable teleconference on April 26th, 2011 at 12pm PT / 3pm ET with Bob Egan, Thomas Noyes, David Schropfer and Drew Sievers where we will discuss the future of mobile payments.

This roundtable will explore issues such as:

1.) Sustainable business models and industry tensions:

  • Are carriers, banks and merchants on a collision course?
  • Will incumbents like VISA and MasterCard see their business model cannibalized?
  • Do business models look different in industrialized economies and emerging markets?

2.) Technology and tactics:

  • Near Field Communication (NFC): Big impact or big flop?
  • Mobile phones and the future of point of sale: Big sales or big mistake?
  • The mobile wallet: Will you leave home without it?

Bob Egan, Founder, Chief Analyst, Sepharim Group

  • Thomas Noyes, Managing Partner, Starpoint LLP
  • Drew Sievers, CEO & Co-Founder, mFoundry, Inc.
  • David W. Schropfer, Founding Partner, The Luciano Group and author of “The SmartPhone Wallet – Understanding the Disruption Ahead”
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ISIS Wisely Looks at Transit, Fast Food, and Groceries

The mobile payment consortium ISIS has signed initial merchants and says the company is focusing on the quick service retailer (QSR’s) market. Isis is looking at adding capabilities to handle private-label retail cards and gift cards. Jim Stapleton, head of sales and account management at Isis, made these remarks during his keynote Wednesday’s at the Smart Card Alliance’s 2011 Mobile and Transit Payments Summit in Salt Lake City.

Isis is a joint venture of mobile carriers AT&T Mobility, Verizon Wireless, and T-Mobile USA. Transactions will flow on Discover Financial Services payment network and Barclaycard, the U.S. credit card unit of London-based Barclays Bank plc, will initially offer consumers Isis accounts. See my earlier thoughts on ISIS: The ISIS Mobile Wallet: Are Visa, MasterCard and PayPal Under Siege?

What we think:

A focus on QSR’s is a wise move for ISIS. Despite much of the hype around mobile payments, and in particular around NFC, sexiness and convenience, not technology, is what’s needed to get this market off the ground.

Case in point is what Starbucks is doing in its own retail stores. Starbucks recently reported one million transactions via its mobile payment application in just fewer than 30 days. For reference see: One Percent of Starbucks Transactions Now Mobile. While the Starbuck application is very primitive (it displays a barcode on a your handset which is scanned) its newness has some sex appeal, and its cool. And if the early momentum is any indication, consumers seem to appreciate speedier check-out (50% faster than cash) and the elimination of the need to dig for debit/credit card or cash. We think that the early success of Starbucks is a positive indicator for ISIS at QSR’s – if you build it they will come. But ISIS must do more.

ISIS must navigate two hurdles: QSR sales are a commodity game. Profits are all about volume. The challenge is how do you make a $10 transaction attractive to everyone from an economic standpoint. PayPal and others have already adjusted their rates for low value payments. ISIS fee structure remains elusive. The second is getting consumers to use the solution. Contactless plastics, which also targeted QSR’s has not seen wide adoption, largely we think, because the majority of consumers don’t even realize the card they are carrying has the capability. Unlike contactless plastic, which is “pushed” to consumers, mobile payment solutions are more likely to require consumers to opt-in. The Starbucks momentum may indicate that when a consumer opts-in by downloading a mobile payment application, they are more likely to use the application capability at the retail point of sale. That may be good news for ISIS.

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One Percent of Starbucks Transactions Now Mobile

Starbucks announced today that it has seen one million transactions via its mobile payment application. The full commercial launch took place on January 19th, 2011. The Starbuck application is available on iPhones and selected Blackberry handsets. A barcode is created on the display of a customer handset which is scanned (or entered) at a store point of sale.

While Starbucks does not release formal store visit numbers, my best estimates are that about 4.5 million people make purchases at Starbucks each day.  That means just under 1% (~0.8%) of transactions at Starbucks are now mobile in less than a month. Fascinating.

The company also said, it release an Android version of its app soon.

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Schropfer: US mobile payments $1 trillion by 2015

The fundmental proposition is threefold:
1. Reduced fee’s could be a motivating factor to drive retailers toward mobile payments.
2. An overhaul of the aging payment communication network is overdue.
3. Carriers should band together to challenge incumbents

my take: $1 trillion is a really big number to achieve in 4 years for a lot of reasons, not the least of which are the slow pace of consumer adoption for new lifestyle technology, and point of sale upgrades. Its more likely that mobile payments via e-commerce sites will continue to set the pace in mobile commerce. And the begs the question, will “card not present” fee’s rise on the fears or realities of mobile payment being less secure?

Amplify’d from www.mobilecommercedaily.com

US mobile payments could reach $1 trillion by 2015: exec

Mobile payments will approach $1 trillion by 2015 in the United States if retailers receive lower payment-processing fees based on a more efficient system, according to projections by International Telecom Strategies’ The Luciano Group.

Mobile Commerce Daily’s Dan Butcher interviewed David Schropfer, partner at International Telecom Strategies’ The Luciano Group, Red Bank, NJ, and author of “The Smartphone Wallet – Understanding the Disruption Ahead.” Here is what he had to say:

Who are the primary combatants in the impending mobile payments war, and what factors are bringing the conflict to a head?
Generally, the two sides are in the payment system as we know it today—Visa, MasterCard, First Data, Fiserv, etcetera—and all of the other companies that are either using or contemplating using an alternative to the payment system—PayPal, Isis, EnStream and others.

What are some of the key conclusions and takeaways from the book?
The payment system as we know it today was designed in the 1960s and ‘70s. Technology has improved, but the architecture is the same.

Mobile payments have the potential to create a more efficient and less expensive payment system.

A less expensive payment system could mean much lower fees to merchants, and lower retail costs to consumers.

Consumers need to know that mobile payments and mobile loyalty programs will offer them a chance to regain their privacy.

For retailers, mobile payments may represent a chance to cut their credit card fees in half. The same is true for loyalty and reward programs.

The reduction of these fees is not because mobile payment companies want to survive on thinner margins.

Instead, these fee reductions will be based on a more efficient infrastructure and architecture.

Credit card schemes and processors, however, need to take a serious look at the smartphone, GSM technology, UICC, Trusted Service Management and other technologies to decide if greater processing efficiencies can be realized.

Read more at www.mobilecommercedaily.com

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